Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.772118 6.338730 6.962224 7.704007 8.568812 9.553108 10.769644
2024-10-20 4.736584 5.457379 6.311091 7.413975 8.827381 10.616781 13.120864
2024-10-27 4.166255 4.948026 5.918949 7.244789 9.061463 11.551972 15.401835
2024-11-03 3.801892 4.621639 5.678076 7.186470 9.371813 12.582954 18.024579
2024-11-10 3.681991 4.582873 5.788882 7.594011 10.373914 14.796054 23.175610
2024-11-17 3.503274 4.440380 5.732595 7.741061 10.994028 16.535065 28.169672
2024-11-24 3.270311 4.198845 5.506674 7.596126 11.110485 17.423078 31.841187
2024-12-01 3.103180 4.034444 5.373635 7.572627 11.416144 18.715788 37.014814
2024-12-08 2.922253 3.835623 5.170169 7.408776 11.442803 19.461587 41.239012
2024-12-15 2.794131 3.704413 5.057051 7.378495 11.703589 20.752462 47.765593
2024-12-22 2.676501 3.580440 4.944185 7.334028 11.926616 22.017107 55.161650
2024-12-29 2.620981 3.545767 4.967886 7.527356 12.648709 24.668389 69.987837
2025-01-05 2.460302 3.349698 4.732418 7.259670 12.438433 25.090020 77.259860
2025-01-12 2.311423 3.165741 4.507552 6.995965 12.212498 25.465573 85.396355
2025-01-19 2.196971 3.028775 4.350095 6.840705 12.198384 26.444213 98.628572
2025-01-26 2.111074 2.931750 4.252059 6.787125 12.405102 28.171671 120.566888
2025-02-02 2.103971 2.959618 4.367385 7.161229 13.700037 34.053936 198.118629
2025-02-09 2.058179 2.921326 4.364060 7.296012 14.439752 38.540168 299.636547
2025-02-16 1.975986 2.818404 4.238712 7.163168 14.451796 40.223345 380.876178
2025-02-23 1.915795 2.749109 4.169213 7.141620 14.765874 43.434868 555.032465
2025-03-02 1.841979 2.653419 4.045803 6.991295 14.690391 44.869606 726.733839
2025-03-09 1.789537 2.591569 3.980901 6.963499 14.968777 48.290722 1179.602057
2025-03-16 1.738746 2.530208 3.913167 6.922673 15.202997 51.734807 2109.403226